Probabilistic price ranges for research and learning — not a recommendation to buy or sell.
▲Stale — ranges are shown as last computed; volatility may have moved since.
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Forecast
Pick an asset and how far ahead you want to look — the forecast below updates instantly.
Forecast issued —
NOW——
MEDIAN—Sits near spot on purpose — the model calls range, not direction.
SIGNAL LEAN—Pick an asset above to see today's lean.
What this shows: how today's news, macro, and sentiment signals are leaning, and why. Context for
your judgment — not an investment recommendation, and it carries no probability estimate; the
ranges below do.
Where it likely lands
68% likely2 times in 3—
95% likely19 times in 20—
What this shows: the span today's volatility makes plausible. Context for your judgment — not an
investment recommendation.
Solid line: median forecast. Dark band: 68% range. Light band: 95% range. Dashed line: your
selected horizon.
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Validated — ranges landed about as often as advertised in out-of-sample testing.
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Runs wide — the range holds, but it's wide enough to be of limited use.
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Not live — no forecast published at this horizon yet.