These are price ranges built from patterns in past prices — for research and learning, not advice
to buy or sell. They're the best guide we have, but they can't promise what happens next.
▲Stale — built a while ago. Prices may have moved a lot since, so this range might not match the market anymore.
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Forecast
Pick an asset and how far ahead you want to look — the forecast below updates instantly.
Forecast issued —
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MEDIAN—Where we expect the price to be — the middle of the range. The line below says which way it leans, and how often that lean has been right.
NEWS LEAN—Pick an asset above to see today's lean.
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This shows how today's news, big-picture economic signals, and market mood are leaning, and why.
It's context for your own thinking — not investment advice. It doesn't say how likely any outcome
is; the ranges below do that.
Where it likely lands
68% likely2 times in 3—
95% likely19 times in 20—
This shows how far the price could reasonably move, based on how much it's been swinging lately.
It's here to inform your own thinking — not advice on what to do.
Solid line: our single best-guess price. Dark band: the likelier range (68%). Light band: the
wider range (95%). Dashed line: the time frame you've picked.
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Back-tested: ran as stated — in past tests, this range was right about as often as we said it would be.
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Back-tested: ran wide — in past tests, the price landed inside this range more often than we said, so it's a bit more cautious than it needs to be.
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Back-tested: ran narrow — in past tests, the price landed outside this range more often than we said — the real risk is bigger than the range suggests.
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Not live — we haven't published a forecast for this time frame yet.
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Not yet assessed — this forecast is real, we just haven't checked yet how well it's held up in the past.
These marks come from testing the model against years of old price data, from before this website existed — not from watching how forecasts on this actual site have turned out (we haven't published enough of them yet to check that). Once we have enough history from this site itself, we'll show that separately.